Barebones graphing Windows file creation/modification dates
As low tech as possible:
dir /X /A-D /S /TC P:\ |find "." |find /V "Directory" > filelist.txt
Open in Excel (or OpenOffice), delimited by space, delete everything but column 1
Create a second sheet, column A has the dates you want to graph, use formula like COUNTIF(Sheet1!A:A,Sheet2:A2) to gather counts for each date
PivotTable on Sheet2:A
Change the /TC (creation) to /TW (modification) if you prefer.